Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Avai vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Serie B brings Avai against Botafogo SP at Ressacada. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Avai are 17th, lower half, on 40 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51.
Current form
Avai, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Athletic Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Botafogo SP, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CRB, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botafogo SP, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Avai.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jul 2026) it ended Botafogo SP 3–1 Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.2 xG, Botafogo SP 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 41%, draw 25%, Botafogo SP 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Botafogo SP to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Botafogo SP35%fair 2.88 · @3.20
2.24Expected goals
1.18Avai xG
1.06Botafogo SP xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Avai 1.2 – 1.1 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Avai vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Avai have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo SP 35%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Botafogo SP?
Avai vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ressacada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
