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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Adama Kenema 36%Draw 33%Sheger Ketema 31% Expected goals 0.87 – 0.78
69%
Betarazi pick

Adama Kenema or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAdama Kenema to win ✗36% · @2.45
Double chanceAdama Kenema or draw ✓69% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.96

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Thursday 26 February: Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema in the Premier League. In the table, Adama Kenema are 10th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Adama Kenema 0.9 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Adama Kenema 36%, draw 33%, Sheger Ketema 31%.
  • Lower-risk option: Adama Kenema or draw (69%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Adama Kenema or draw (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Adama Kenema36%fair 2.75 · @2.45
Draw33%fair 3.04 · @2.45
Sheger Ketema31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
1.65Expected goals
0.87Adama Kenema xG
0.78Sheger Ketema xG
44%Both score
23%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–019%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Adama Kenema 0.9 – 0.8 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAdama Kenema to win ✗36%2.752.45
Double chanceAdama Kenema or draw ✓69%1.451.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.781.44
Draw no betAdama Kenema (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapSheger Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗91%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗97%1.03–
First team to scoreAdama Kenema to score first ✓43%2.34–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.96–

Recent results

Adama Kenema – last 1

W
21 Feb@ Ethiopian Medhin1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 1

D
22 Febvs Mebrat Hayl0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Adama Kenema and Sheger Ketema.

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Adama Kenema or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Adama Kenema have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Sheger Ketema 31%.

How many goals will there be in Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.