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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mekelakeya v Mekelle Kenema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Mekelakeya 41%Draw 31%Mekelle Kenema 27% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.79
73%
Betarazi pick

Mekelakeya or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultMekelakeya to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceMekelakeya or draw ✓73% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08

Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mekelakeya welcome Mekelle Kenema for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 26 February (16:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mekelakeya 1.2 xG, Mekelle Kenema 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelakeya 41%, draw 31%, Mekelle Kenema 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mekelakeya or draw (73%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mekelakeya or draw (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelakeya 1–0 Mekelle Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mekelakeya41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
Draw31%fair 3.19 · @2.50
Mekelle Kenema27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
1.96Expected goals
1.17Mekelakeya xG
0.79Mekelle Kenema xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%

From our goals model: Mekelakeya 1.2 – 0.8 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMekelakeya to win ✗41%2.412.30
Double chanceMekelakeya or draw ✓73%1.371.29
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.50
Draw no betMekelakeya (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapMekelle Kenema +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.71–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreMekelakeya to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mekelakeya / FT Mekelakeya ✗25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.08–

Recent results

Mekelakeya – last 1

L
21 Feb@ Welayta Dicha3–4L
3.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Mekelle Kenema – last 1

W
23 Febvs Suhul Shire1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mekelakeya and Mekelle Kenema.

Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our pick is Mekelakeya or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

On our numbers Mekelakeya have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Mekelle Kenema 27%.

How many goals will there be in Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our predicted score is Mekelakeya 1–0 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema?

Mekelakeya vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.