Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ethiopia Bunna travel to face Negelle Arsi on Thursday 26 February in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Negelle Arsi are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Ethiopia Bunna are 14th (lower half) with 4.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Negelle Arsi 1.3 xG, Ethiopia Bunna 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Negelle Arsi 47%, draw 29%, Ethiopia Bunna 24%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Negelle Arsi47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
2.02Expected goals
1.28Negelle Arsi xG
0.74Ethiopia Bunna xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.3 – 0.7 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
47%
2.14
2.15
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia Bunna +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Recent results
Negelle Arsi – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ethiopia Bunna 24%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Negelle Arsi vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema0
Mekelle Kenema0