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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dire Dawa Kenema v Welayta Dicha: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
Dire Dawa Kenema 29%Draw 29%Welayta Dicha 42% Expected goals 0.92 – 1.24
71%
Betarazi pick

Welayta Dicha or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓71% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.27

Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 26 February the Premier League brings Dire Dawa Kenema against Welayta Dicha. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dire Dawa Kenema 0.9 xG, Welayta Dicha 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, draw 29%, Welayta Dicha 42%.
  • Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (71%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Welayta Dicha or draw (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dire Dawa Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dire Dawa Kenema29%fair 3.48 · @3.40
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.70
Welayta Dicha42%fair 2.36 · @2.15
2.15Expected goals
0.92Dire Dawa Kenema xG
1.24Welayta Dicha xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Dire Dawa Kenema 0.9 – 1.2 Welayta Dicha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWelayta Dicha to win ✓42%2.362.15
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓71%1.401.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.30 ▲
Draw no betWelayta Dicha (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapDire Dawa Kenema +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreWelayta Dicha to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.27–

Recent results

Dire Dawa Kenema – last 1

D
22 Feb@ Awassa Kenema1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Welayta Dicha – last 1

W
21 Febvs Mekelakeya4–3W
4.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dire Dawa Kenema and Welayta Dicha.

Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Our pick is Welayta Dicha or draw with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

On our numbers Dire Dawa Kenema have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Welayta Dicha 42%.

How many goals will there be in Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Our predicted score is Dire Dawa Kenema 0–1 Welayta Dicha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.