Value bet: Hume City to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHume City to win ✓53% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the Victoria NPL brings Hume City against Bentleigh Greens. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hume City 1.9 xG, Bentleigh Greens 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hume City 53%, draw 22%, Bentleigh Greens 25%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Hume City to win @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hume City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hume City53%fair 1.90 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Bentleigh Greens25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
2.95Expected goals
1.89Hume City xG
1.06Bentleigh Greens xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Hume City 1.9 – 1.1 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hume City to win✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Draw no bet
Hume City (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Bentleigh Greens +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Hume City to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Hume City ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hume City / FT Hume City✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Hume City – last 2
WL
19 Feb
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bentleigh Greens – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hume City and Bentleigh Greens.
What is the prediction for Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
On our numbers Hume City have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bentleigh Greens 25%.
How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our predicted score is Hume City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Avondale5
Green Gully0
Sunshine Georgies2
Dandenong Thunder1
Altona Magic1
South Melbourne2