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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sunshine Georgies v Dandenong Thunder: numbers & prediction

Victoria NPL · Australia · City Vista Recreation Reserve

Sunshine Georgies

WD
2–1
FT

Dandenong Thunder

LD
Sunshine Georgies 54%Draw 21%Dandenong Thunder 26% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.88
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Sunshine Georgies to win @ 2.45 – our chance 54% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSunshine Georgies to win ✓54% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.24

Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 28 February the Victoria NPL brings Sunshine Georgies against Dandenong Thunder at City Vista Recreation Reserve. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sunshine Georgies 1.8 xG, Dandenong Thunder 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sunshine Georgies 54%, draw 21%, Dandenong Thunder 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Sunshine Georgies to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunshine Georgies 1–0 Dandenong Thunder. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunshine Georgies54%fair 1.87 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Dandenong Thunder26%fair 3.89 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.79Sunshine Georgies xG
0.88Dandenong Thunder xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sunshine Georgies 1.8 – 0.9 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSunshine Georgies to win ✓54%1.872.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.44
Draw no betSunshine Georgies (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapDandenong Thunder +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSunshine Georgies to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultSunshine Georgies ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sunshine Georgies / FT Sunshine Georgies ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.24–

Recent results

Sunshine Georgies – last 2

WD
20 Feb@ Green Gully2–0W
14 Febvs Bentleigh Greens0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Dandenong Thunder – last 2

LD
21 Febvs Heidelberg United0–1L
15 Febvs Melbourne City II1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sunshine Georgies and Dandenong Thunder.

Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Hume City1 Bentleigh Greens0 153%2.05X22%3.30225%3.20 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Avondale5 Green Gully0 162%1.77X21%3.70217%3.75 2.2–1.0xG 1Avondale to win 62%@1.77 ✓
FT Altona Magic1 South Melbourne2 130%2.62X25%3.40245%2.35 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?

On our numbers Sunshine Georgies have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dandenong Thunder 26%.

How many goals will there be in Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our predicted score is Sunshine Georgies 1–0 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?

Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at City Vista Recreation Reserve.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.