Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.77Odds
Picks by market
ResultAvondale to win ✓62% · @1.77
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Avondale vs Green Gully: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Avondale v Green Gully in the Victoria NPL, played at Avenger park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avondale 2.2 xG, Green Gully 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avondale 62%, draw 21%, Green Gully 17%.
Lower-risk option: Avondale or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Avondale to win (62%, odds 1.77 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avondale 2–0 Green Gully. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avondale62%fair 1.60 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Green Gully17%fair 5.91 · @3.75
3.17Expected goals
2.22Avondale xG
0.95Green Gully xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Avondale 2.2 – 1.0 Green Gully expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
62%
1.60
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Avondale or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
Avondale (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Avondale -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Avondale to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Avondale – last 2
LL
20 Feb
@ Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs South Melbourne
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Green Gully – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avondale and Green Gully.
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Green Gully?
Our pick is Avondale to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Avondale vs Green Gully?
On our numbers Avondale have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Green Gully 17%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Green Gully?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avondale vs Green Gully?
Our predicted score is Avondale 2–0 Green Gully, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Avondale vs Green Gully?
Avondale vs Green Gully (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
Sunshine Georgies2
Dandenong Thunder1
Altona Magic1
South Melbourne2