Altona Magic vs South Melbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:15 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Altona Magic v South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL, played at Paisley Park.
Current form
South Melbourne, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over South Island United, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altona Magic 1.2 xG, South Melbourne 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altona Magic 30%, draw 25%, South Melbourne 45%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altona Magic 1–1 South Melbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altona Magic30%fair 3.34 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
South Melbourne45%fair 2.22 · @2.35
2.83Expected goals
1.19Altona Magic xG
1.64South Melbourne xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Altona Magic 1.2 – 1.6 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
45%
2.22
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
South Melbourne (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Altona Magic +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
South Melbourne to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Altona Magic – last 2
LW
20 Feb
@ Oakleigh Cannons
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Hume City
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 4
WDLW
27 Feb
vs South Island United
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Auckland FC 2
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Hume City
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Avondale
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altona Magic and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Altona Magic have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and South Melbourne 45%.
How many goals will there be in Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Altona Magic 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Altona Magic vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at Paisley Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Paisley Park
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
Avondale5
Green Gully0
Sunshine Georgies2
Dandenong Thunder1