Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Zalgiris Vilnius travel to face Suduva Marijampole on Sunday 10 May in the A Lyga, with Marijampole Football Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:15 WAT. In the table, Suduva Marijampole are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 32 matches; FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Suduva Marijampole, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with TransINVEST Vilnius, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Šiauliai, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Suduva Marijampole, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0 Suduva Marijampole.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Suduva Marijampole 1.4 xG, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Suduva Marijampole 38%, draw 25%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suduva Marijampole 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Suduva Marijampole38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius37%fair 2.71 · @2.45
2.65Expected goals
1.39Suduva Marijampole xG
1.26FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Suduva Marijampole 1.4 – 1.3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
On our numbers Suduva Marijampole have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37%.
How many goals will there be in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Our predicted score is Suduva Marijampole 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Marijampole Football Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
