Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kauno Žalgiris travel to face Panevėžys on Sunday 10 May in the A Lyga, with Aukstaitijos Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Panevėžys are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Kauno Žalgiris are 1st (leading the league) with 58. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Panevėžys, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hegelmann Litauen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kauno Žalgiris, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Džiugas Telšiai, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 Panevėžys. The last 2 head-to-heads: Panevėžys 0 wins, Kauno Žalgiris 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panevėžys 1.0 xG, Kauno Žalgiris 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panevėžys 18%, draw 24%, Kauno Žalgiris 57%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panevėžys 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panevėžys18%fair 5.44 · @6.40
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.90
Kauno Žalgiris57%fair 1.75 · @1.45
2.70Expected goals
1.02Panevėžys xG
1.68Kauno Žalgiris xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.0 – 1.7 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kauno Žalgiris 57%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
