Anápolis v Barra Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAnápolis to win ✗37% · @2.70

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Anápolis vs Barra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barra travel to face Anápolis on Sunday 17 May in the Serie C, with Estadio Jonas Duarte the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Anápolis are 18th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 19 matches; Barra are 17th (lower half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Anápolis, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cuiaba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Barra, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Corinthians, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Anápolis 1.3 xG, Barra 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Anápolis 37%, draw 28%, Barra 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anápolis 1–1 Barra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Anápolis37%fair 2.71 · @2.70

Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.80

Barra35%fair 2.85 · @2.70

2.42Expected goals

1.29Anápolis xG

1.13Barra xG

54%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Anápolis 1.3 – 1.1 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Anápolis to win ✗	37%	2.71	2.70
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.83	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Anápolis (draw no bet)	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Barra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.66	1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Anápolis to score first ✗	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Anápolis / FT Anápolis ✗	23%	4.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.98	–

Anápolis – last 6

WLLWWL

29 Apr	vs Cuiaba	4–0	W
18 Apr	@ Ypiranga-RS	0–3	L
15 Apr	@ Gama	1–2	L
8 Apr	vs Porto Vitória	2–0	W
29 Mar	vs Tocantinópolis	2–0	W
27 Mar	@ Atletico Goianiense	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Barra – last 6

LWLWLD

14 May	@ Corinthians	0–1	L
5 May	@ Figueirense	3–0	W
22 Apr	vs Corinthians	0–1	L
12 Apr	vs Maranhão	3–0	W
4 Apr	@ Botafogo PB	0–1	L
15 Feb	@ Camboriú	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo PB	19	10	3	6	+9	33
2	Brusque	19	9	5	5	+6	32
3	Ferroviária	19	8	6	5	+7	30
4	Maringá	19	8	6	5	+2	30
5	Floresta	19	8	6	5	+2	30
6	Inter De Limeira	19	8	6	5	+2	30
7	Paysandu	19	9	2	8	-1	29
8	Santa Cruz	19	8	5	6	+5	29
9	Ypiranga-RS	19	8	5	6	+3	29
10	Guarani Campinas	19	7	7	5	+10	28
11	Figueirense	19	7	7	5	-3	28
12	Maranhão	19	7	6	6	+1	27
13	Amazonas	19	7	5	7	-2	26
14	Caxias	19	6	7	6	+1	25
15	Ituano	19	6	4	9	-3	22
16	Volta Redonda	19	6	3	10	-12	21
17	Barra	19	5	6	8	0	21
18	Anápolis	19	5	4	10	-5	19
19	AO Itabaiana	19	4	5	10	-13	17
20	Confiança	19	3	4	12	-9	13

Team

Pts

-1

+10

-3

-2

-3

-12

-5

-13

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anápolis vs Barra?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Anápolis vs Barra?

On our numbers Anápolis have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Barra 35%.

How many goals will there be in Anápolis vs Barra?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Anápolis vs Barra?

Our predicted score is Anápolis 1–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Anápolis vs Barra?

Anápolis vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jonas Duarte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Anápolis v Barra: numbers & prediction