Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuarani Campinas to win ✗55% · @1.70
Double chanceGuarani Campinas or draw ✗81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Guarani Campinas vs Ituano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guarani Campinas welcome Ituano for a Serie C fixture on Sunday 17 May (22:30 WAT). In the table, Guarani Campinas are 10th, upper half, on 28 points after 19 matches; Ituano are 15th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Guarani Campinas, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Maringá, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Ituano, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Confiança, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guarani Campinas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ituano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guarani Campinas 1.7 xG, Ituano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guarani Campinas 55%, draw 26%, Ituano 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guarani Campinas 1–0 Ituano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guarani Campinas55%fair 1.81 · @1.70
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
Ituano19%fair 5.25 · @4.75
2.61Expected goals
1.68Guarani Campinas xG
0.92Ituano xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Guarani Campinas 1.7 – 0.9 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guarani Campinas to win✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Double chance
Guarani Campinas or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Guarani Campinas (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ituano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Guarani Campinas to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guarani Campinas / FT Guarani Campinas✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Guarani Campinas – last 3
WDD
12 May
@ Maringá
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Ferroviária
2–2
D
16 Feb
@ Palmeiras
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ituano – last 6
WLDLWL
10 May
vs Confiança
1–0
W
5 May
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Ferroviária
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Ferroviária
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Votuporanguense
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ XV de Piracicaba
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guarani Campinas and Ituano.
What is the prediction for Guarani Campinas vs Ituano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guarani Campinas vs Ituano?
On our numbers Guarani Campinas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ituano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guarani Campinas vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guarani Campinas vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Guarani Campinas 1–0 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guarani Campinas vs Ituano?
Guarani Campinas vs Ituano (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
