Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Ferroviária vs Brusque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Serie C brings Ferroviária against Brusque at Arena Fonte Luminosa. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Brusque are 3rd with 7.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brusque, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ypiranga-RS, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Brusque, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Ferroviária.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.4 xG, Brusque 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 43%, draw 27%, Brusque 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–1 Brusque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.95
Brusque30%fair 3.34 · @3.50
2.46Expected goals
1.39Ferroviária xG
1.07Brusque xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.4 – 1.1 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win✓
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Ferroviária (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Brusque +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ferroviária to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Ferroviária – last 6
LDDDWD
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
7 May
@ Juventus
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Ituano
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Guarani Campinas
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Ituano
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Floresta
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Brusque – last 3
WWL
10 May
vs Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
21 Apr
@ Maringá
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Brusque.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Brusque?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Brusque 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–1 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Ferroviária vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
