14:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Aktobe v Atyrau in the Premier League, played at Koblandy Batyr Stadium. In the table, Aktobe are 5th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Atyrau are 13th (lower half) with 30. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aktobe, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kaisar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Atyrau, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Okzhetpes, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aktobe 1.6 xG, Atyrau 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aktobe 55%, draw 25%, Atyrau 20%.
Lower-risk option: Aktobe or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aktobe 1–0 Atyrau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aktobe55%fair 1.82 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Atyrau20%fair 4.96 · @4.40
2.41Expected goals
1.56Aktobe xG
0.86Atyrau xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Aktobe 1.6 – 0.9 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aktobe to win✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Double chance
Aktobe or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Aktobe (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Atyrau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Aktobe to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aktobe / FT Aktobe✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Aktobe – last 6
WWLWDL
10 May
vs Kaisar
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
DWLLWW
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Jas Qyran
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aktobe and Atyrau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aktobe vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Aktobe have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atyrau 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Aktobe 1–0 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aktobe vs Atyrau?
Aktobe vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
