Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Premier League brings Zhenys against Kairat Almaty at Astana Arena. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Zhenys are 8th, upper half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zhenys, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kyzyl-Zhar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kairat Almaty, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ulytau, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zhenys, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Kairat Almaty.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zhenys 0.9 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zhenys 21%, draw 25%, Kairat Almaty 55%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhenys 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zhenys21%fair 4.81 · @4.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.30
Kairat Almaty55%fair 1.83 · @1.70
2.44Expected goals
0.93Zhenys xG
1.51Kairat Almaty xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Zhenys 0.9 – 1.5 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Kairat Almaty (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Zhenys +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Kairat Almaty to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Zhenys – last 6
WWWWWL
13 May
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
2–0
W
9 May
@ Zhetysu
3–2
W
3 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Aktobe
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
DWWLDW
10 May
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
6 May
@ Kaisar
2–1
W
2 May
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Jaiyq
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kairat Almaty 55%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
