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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ordabasy v Zhetysu: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
2–1
FT

Zhetysu

LLWWW
Ordabasy 70%Draw 20%Zhetysu 10% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.64
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrdabasy to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.96

Ordabasy vs Zhetysu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ordabasy welcome Zhetysu to Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Zhetysu are 15th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ordabasy, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zhetysu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Zhetysu, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ordabasy, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Zhetysu.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Ordabasy 1–0 Zhetysu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 2.1 xG, Zhetysu 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 70%, draw 20%, Zhetysu 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 2–0 Zhetysu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ordabasy70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.90
Zhetysu10%fair 10.34 · @7.75
2.73Expected goals
2.09Ordabasy xG
0.64Zhetysu xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ordabasy 2.1 – 0.6 Zhetysu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrdabasy to win ✓70%1.431.40
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.922.10 ▲
Draw no betOrdabasy (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapOrdabasy -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreOrdabasy to score first ✗72%1.40–
Half-time resultOrdabasy ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.96–

Recent results

Ordabasy – last 6

WDWWWW
13 Mayvs Zhetysu1–0W
10 May@ Altay0–0D
30 Aprvs Kaspiy3–0W
8 Apr@ Akademiya Ontustik4–2W
20 Marvs Kaisar2–0W
16 Mar@ Zhenys2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Zhetysu – last 6

LLWWWW
13 May@ Ordabasy0–1L
9 Mayvs Zhenys2–3L
29 Apr@ Atyrau2–0W
26 Aprvs Ulytau2–0W
18 Apr@ Irtysh2–1W
8 Apr@ Karshiga Almaty1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026Ordabasy v Zhetysu1–0
Ordabasy vs Zhetysu head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?

On our numbers Ordabasy have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zhetysu 10%.

How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?

Our predicted score is Ordabasy 2–0 Zhetysu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Ordabasy vs Zhetysu?

Ordabasy vs Zhetysu (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.