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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kaisar v FK Tobol Kostanay: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Kazakhstan · Kaysar Arena

Kaisar

LLWDD
2–1
FT
Kaisar 31%Draw 26%FK Tobol Kostanay 43% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.37
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Kaisar v FK Tobol Kostanay in the Premier League, played at Kaysar Arena. In the table, Kaisar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Kaisar, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Aktobe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zhenys, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours FK Tobol Kostanay, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Kaisar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kaisar 1.1 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kaisar 31%, draw 26%, FK Tobol Kostanay 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaisar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kaisar31%fair 3.22 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
FK Tobol Kostanay43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
2.47Expected goals
1.10Kaisar xG
1.37FK Tobol Kostanay xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Kaisar 1.1 – 1.4 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗43%2.322.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betFK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet) ✗58%1.72–
Asian handicapKaisar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreFK Tobol Kostanay to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Kaisar – last 6

LLWDDL
10 May@ Aktobe0–3L
6 Mayvs Kairat Almaty1–2L
29 Aprvs Kairat Almaty2–1W
25 Apr@ Okzhetpes1–1D
19 Aprvs Altay1–1D
11 Apr@ Atyrau0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6

LWWLWL
3 May@ Zhenys0–1L
29 Apr@ FC Astana2–1W
26 Aprvs Kaspiy2–1W
19 Apr@ Ulytau1–2L
8 Apr@ Ansat8–0W
4 Apr@ Yelimay Semey0–1L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kaisar and FK Tobol Kostanay.

Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy302154+3668
2Kairat Almaty301983+3765
3FC Astana301596+1754
4Okzhetpes301668+1154
5Aktobe301479+849
6Yelimay Semey301299-145
7FK Tobol Kostanay3012513041
8Zhenys309912-836
9Ulytau309813-1135
10Kyzyl-Zhar309615-1133
11Kaspiy309615-1233
12Irtysh308814-1332
13Atyrau3061212-830
14Altay3061014-1128
15Zhetysu306915-1827
16Kaisar3041313-1625

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

On our numbers Kaisar have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Tobol Kostanay 43%.

How many goals will there be in Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Our predicted score is Kaisar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kaysar Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.