Double chanceFK Tobol Kostanay or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atyrau welcome FK Tobol Kostanay to Turkestan Arena for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 28 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Atyrau are 13th, lower half, on 30 points after 30 matches; FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (upper half) with 41.
Current form
Atyrau, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zhetysu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FK Tobol Kostanay, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ordabasy, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atyrau 1.0 xG, FK Tobol Kostanay 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atyrau 24%, draw 26%, FK Tobol Kostanay 50%.
Lower-risk option: FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Tobol Kostanay or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atyrau 0–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atyrau24%fair 4.10 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.20
FK Tobol Kostanay50%fair 2.01 · @1.91
2.34Expected goals
0.99Atyrau xG
1.36FK Tobol Kostanay xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Atyrau 1.0 – 1.4 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✗
50%
2.01
1.91
Double chance
FK Tobol Kostanay or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.90
Draw no bet
FK Tobol Kostanay (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Atyrau +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
FK Tobol Kostanay to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Atyrau – last 6
DDDWLL
23 May
@ Zhetysu
0–0
D
17 May
@ Aktobe
1–1
D
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
LLLWWL
23 May
vs Ordabasy
0–3
L
17 May
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
3 May
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ FC Astana
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kaspiy
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atyrau and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is FK Tobol Kostanay or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Atyrau have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Tobol Kostanay 50%.
How many goals will there be in Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Atyrau 0–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Turkestan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
