Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 28 May the Premier League brings Ordabasy against Kairat Almaty at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ordabasy are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 30 matches; Kairat Almaty are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ordabasy, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FK Tobol Kostanay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kairat Almaty, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kaisar, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ordabasy, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Kairat Almaty.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ordabasy 1.5 xG, Kairat Almaty 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ordabasy 45%, draw 25%, Kairat Almaty 30%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ordabasy 1–1 Kairat Almaty. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ordabasy45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.20
Kairat Almaty30%fair 3.32 · @2.95
2.51Expected goals
1.47Ordabasy xG
1.05Kairat Almaty xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.5 – 1.0 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win✓
45%
2.23
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Ordabasy (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Kairat Almaty +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ordabasy to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Ordabasy – last 6
WWWDWW
23 May
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
3–0
W
17 May
vs Zhetysu
2–1
W
13 May
vs Zhetysu
1–0
W
10 May
@ Altay
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
DWDWWL
23 May
vs Kaisar
0–0
D
17 May
@ Zhenys
2–1
W
10 May
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
6 May
@ Kaisar
2–1
W
2 May
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kairat Almaty 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?
Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
