Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOkzhetpes to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Okzhetpes v Aktobe in the Premier League, played at Okzhetpes Stadium. In the table, Okzhetpes are 4th, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Aktobe are 5th (upper half) with 49.
Current form
Okzhetpes, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Altay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aktobe, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kyzyl-Zhar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Okzhetpes 1.5 xG, Aktobe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Okzhetpes 43%, draw 25%, Aktobe 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Okzhetpes 1–1 Aktobe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Okzhetpes43%fair 2.33 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Aktobe32%fair 3.09 · @2.70
2.71Expected goals
1.51Okzhetpes xG
1.20Aktobe xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Okzhetpes 1.5 – 1.2 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Okzhetpes to win✗
43%
2.33
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Okzhetpes (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Aktobe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Okzhetpes to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Okzhetpes / FT Okzhetpes✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Okzhetpes – last 6
WDWLDW
22 May
@ Altay
1–0
W
9 May
vs Atyrau
0–0
D
2 May
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhenys
2–3
L
25 Apr
vs Kaisar
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Irtysh
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aktobe – last 6
DDWWLW
23 May
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–0
D
17 May
vs Atyrau
1–1
D
10 May
vs Kaisar
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Okzhetpes and Aktobe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?
On our numbers Okzhetpes have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aktobe 32%.
How many goals will there be in Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?
Our predicted score is Okzhetpes 1–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Okzhetpes vs Aktobe?
Okzhetpes vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Okzhetpes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
