Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZhenys to win ✓52% · @1.91
Double chanceZhenys or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Zhenys vs Kaspiy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Zhenys v Kaspiy in the Premier League, played at Astana Arena. In the table, Zhenys are 8th, upper half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Kaspiy are 11th (lower half) with 33. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zhenys, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Yelimay Semey, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Kaspiy, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Irtysh, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zhenys, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Kaspiy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zhenys 1.5 xG, Kaspiy 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zhenys 52%, draw 25%, Kaspiy 23%.
Lower-risk option: Zhenys or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zhenys 1–0 Kaspiy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zhenys52%fair 1.93 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.20
Kaspiy23%fair 4.27 · @3.80
2.50Expected goals
1.50Zhenys xG
0.99Kaspiy xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Zhenys 1.5 – 1.0 Kaspiy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zhenys to win✓
52%
1.93
1.91
Double chance
Zhenys or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Zhenys (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Kaspiy +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Zhenys to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zhenys / FT Zhenys✓
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Zhenys – last 6
LLWWWW
23 May
@ Yelimay Semey
1–2
L
17 May
vs Kairat Almaty
1–2
L
13 May
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
2–0
W
9 May
@ Zhetysu
3–2
W
3 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kaspiy – last 6
DLLWLD
22 May
vs Irtysh
2–2
D
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Kaspiy.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kaspiy 23%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 1–0 Kaspiy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Kaspiy?
Zhenys vs Kaspiy (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
