Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓56% · @1.82
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Mixto vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Friday 13 March: Mixto v Novorizontino in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Arena Pantanal.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mixto 1.0 xG, Novorizontino 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mixto 19%, draw 25%, Novorizontino 56%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (81%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mixto 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mixto19%fair 5.27 · @4.40
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.20
Novorizontino56%fair 1.78 · @1.82
2.79Expected goals
0.98Mixto xG
1.81Novorizontino xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mixto 1.0 – 1.8 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
56%
1.78
1.82
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Mixto +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Novorizontino ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Mixto – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ Ec Vitoria W
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Flamengo W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
LLWWWL
9 Mar
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Palmeiras
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Nacional AM
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Santos
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixto and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mixto vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Mixto have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Novorizontino 56%.
How many goals will there be in Mixto vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Mixto 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Mixto vs Novorizontino (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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