Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✗53% · @1.88
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Tuna Luso vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Friday 13 March: Tuna Luso v Juventude in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estádio Francisco Vasques.
Current form
Tuna Luso, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tocantinópolis, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tuna Luso 1.2 xG, Juventude 2.0 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tuna Luso 21%, draw 26%, Juventude 53%.
Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tuna Luso 1–2 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tuna Luso21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.15
Juventude53%fair 1.88 · @1.88
3.25Expected goals
1.23Tuna Luso xG
2.03Juventude xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tuna Luso 1.2 – 2.0 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
53%
1.88
1.88
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Tuna Luso +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.42 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Juventude to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Juventude ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Tuna Luso – last 3
WLL
4 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
4–1
W
20 Feb
@ Paysandu
1–5
L
15 Feb
@ Bragantino PA
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 2
WD
6 Mar
vs Guaporé
5–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gremio
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuna Luso and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
On our numbers Tuna Luso have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventude 53%.
How many goals will there be in Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Tuna Luso 1–2 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Tuna Luso vs Juventude (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Francisco Vasques.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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