Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗60% · @1.34
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓83% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Sport Recife vs Anápolis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Copa Do Brasil brings Sport Recife against Anápolis at Ilha do Retiro. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Anápolis, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cianorte, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.6 xG, Anápolis 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 60%, draw 23%, Anápolis 17%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–0 Anápolis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife60%fair 1.67 · @1.34
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.20
Anápolis17%fair 5.74 · @9.40
2.54Expected goals
1.60Sport Recife xG
0.93Anápolis xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.6 – 0.9 Anápolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
60%
1.67
1.34
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Anápolis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Sport Recife
No recent results on record.
Anápolis – last 4
WLDL
25 Feb
vs Cianorte
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs ABECAT Ouvidorense
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Vila Nova
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Vila Nova
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Anápolis.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Anápolis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Anápolis?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anápolis 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Anápolis?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Anápolis?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Anápolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Anápolis?
Sport Recife vs Anápolis (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Ilha do Retiro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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