France 75%Draw 17%Türkiye 8%Expected goals 2.32 – 0.68
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.32
6/10Rating
1.32Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.82 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultFrance to win75% · @1.11
Double chanceFrance or draw92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.99
France vs Türkiye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
France welcome Türkiye for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Sunday 15 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, France are 1st on 10 points after 4 matches; Türkiye are 4th with 0.
Current form
France, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Belgium, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Türkiye, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Italy, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours France, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Türkiye.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Türkiye 0–1 France.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give France 2.3 xG, Türkiye 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – France 75%, draw 17%, Türkiye 8%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: France 3–0 Türkiye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
France75%fair 1.33 · @1.11
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @7.70
Türkiye8%fair 12.71 · @15.00
3.00Expected goals
2.32France xG
0.68Türkiye xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: France 2.3 – 0.7 Türkiye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
France
Türkiye
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+15%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
+48%
Our expected goals here
2.08
0.67
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win France vs Türkiye?
On our numbers France have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Türkiye 8%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Türkiye?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Türkiye?
Our predicted score is France 3–0 Türkiye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is France vs Türkiye?
France vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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