20:45 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Spain v England in the UEFA Nations League. In the table, Spain are 1st on 12 points after 4 matches; England are 2nd with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spain, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Croatia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
England, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Czechia, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Spain, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for England.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended England 2–3 Spain.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spain 1.9 xG, England 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 51%, draw 21%, England 27%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.56.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.56 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 1–1 England. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain51%fair 1.94 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.56
England27%fair 3.66 · @5.36
3.66Expected goals
1.90Spain xG
1.76England xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Spain 1.9 – 1.8 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Spain
England
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+45%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.50
2.05
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Spain vs England?
On our numbers Spain have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and England 27%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs England?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs England?
Our predicted score is Spain 1–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Spain vs England?
Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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