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Croatia v Czechia: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Croatia

LLLWL
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Czechia

LLLLL
Croatia 58%Draw 21%Czechia 22% Expected goals 1.83 – 1.32
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.87

5/10Rating
1.87Odds

Picks by market

ResultCroatia to win58% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.57

Croatia vs Czechia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 November the UEFA Nations League brings Croatia against Czechia. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Croatia are 3rd on 3 points after 4 matches; Czechia are 4th with 0. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Croatia, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Spain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Czechia, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to England, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Croatia, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Czechia.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Czechia 1–2 Croatia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Croatia 1.8 xG, Czechia 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Croatia 58%, draw 21%, Czechia 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.87.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.87 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Croatia 1–1 Czechia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Croatia58%fair 1.73 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.93
Czechia22%fair 4.64 · @7.60
3.15Expected goals
1.83Croatia xG
1.32Czechia xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Croatia 1.8 – 1.3 Czechia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CroatiaCzechia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-9%-29%
Goals conceded vs average+64%+25%
Our expected goals here1.401.43

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCroatia to win58%1.731.33
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.631.87 ▲
Draw no betCroatia (draw no bet)73%1.37–
Asian handicapCzechia +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.691.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals79%1.27–
First team to scoreCroatia to score first56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Croatia / FT Croatia30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.57–

Recent results

Croatia – last 6

LLLWLW
6 Octvs Spain1–2L
3 Octvs England0–7L
29 Sep@ Spain1–4L
26 Sep@ Czechia2–1W
3 Jul@ Portugal1–2L
27 Junvs Ghana2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Czechia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ England0–3L
3 Oct@ Spain1–3L
29 Sepvs England0–2L
26 Sepvs Croatia1–2L
25 Junvs Mexico0–3L
18 Junvs South Africa1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Czechia v Croatia1–2
Croatia vs Czechia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain4400+712
2England4301+119
3Croatia4103-103
4Czechia4004-80

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
France Türkiye 175%1.11X17%7.7028%15.00 2.3–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.32
Belgium Italy 140%2.18X23%3.76237%2.78 1.5–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.40
Spain England 151%1.60X21%4.56227%5.36 1.9–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.56

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Croatia vs Czechia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.87.

Who will win Croatia vs Czechia?

On our numbers Croatia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Czechia 22%.

How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Czechia?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Czechia?

Our predicted score is Croatia 1–1 Czechia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Croatia vs Czechia?

Croatia vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.