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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Faroe Islands v Moldova: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe

Faroe Islands

DDDDW
Mon 16 Nov 2026

Moldova

LWDLD
Faroe Islands 47%Draw 22%Moldova 31% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.10
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35

8/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultFaroe Islands to win47% · fair 2.12
Double chanceEither team to win78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.87

Faroe Islands vs Moldova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 16 November the UEFA Nations League brings Faroe Islands against Moldova. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Faroe Islands are 2nd on 4 points after 4 matches; Moldova are 3rd with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Faroe Islands, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kazakhstan, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Moldova, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Slovakia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Faroe Islands 1.5 xG, Moldova 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Faroe Islands 47%, draw 22%, Moldova 31%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Under 3.5 goals (74%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Faroe Islands 1–1 Moldova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Faroe Islands47%fair 2.12
Draw22%fair 4.59
Moldova31%fair 3.23
2.57Expected goals
1.47Faroe Islands xG
1.10Moldova xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Faroe Islands 1.5 – 1.1 Moldova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Faroe IslandsMoldova
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average-2%-14%
Goals conceded vs average-0%+23%
Our expected goals here1.471.06

Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFaroe Islands to win47%2.12–
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.91–
Draw no betFaroe Islands (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapMoldova +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.13–
First team to scoreFaroe Islands to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Faroe Islands / FT Faroe Islands27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011%8.87–

Recent results

Faroe Islands – last 6

DDDDWL
6 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–2D
2 Octvs Slovakia1–1D
29 Sep@ Moldova1–1D
26 Sepvs Kazakhstan1–1D
9 Jun@ Latvia1–0W
6 Jun@ Estonia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Moldova – last 6

LWDLDD
6 Octvs Slovakia0–4L
2 Oct@ Kazakhstan2–1W
29 Sepvs Faroe Islands1–1D
26 Sep@ Slovakia0–2L
9 Jun@ Armenia1–1D
5 Junvs Bulgaria2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026Moldova v Faroe Islands1–1
Faroe Islands vs Moldova head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovakia4310+710
2Faroe Islands404004
3Moldova4112-54
4Kazakhstan4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Germany Netherlands 148%1.80X25%4.12227%3.49 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.56
Greece Serbia 163%1.34X22%4.98215%7.34 1.8–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.45
Switzerland Scotland 164%1.41X21%4.37215%6.87 1.8–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.27
FYR Macedonia Slovenia 113%6.33X23%3.86264%1.50 0.6–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.

Who will win Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

On our numbers Faroe Islands have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Moldova 31%.

How many goals will there be in Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Our predicted score is Faroe Islands 1–1 Moldova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Faroe Islands vs Moldova?

Faroe Islands vs Moldova (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.