Both teams scoreNot both teams to score63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.05
Lithuania vs Liechtenstein: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lithuania welcome Liechtenstein for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Monday 16 November (18:00 WAT). In the table, Lithuania are 2nd on 4 points after 3 matches; Liechtenstein are 3rd with 1. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lithuania, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Azerbaijan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Liechtenstein, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gibraltar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lithuania, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Liechtenstein.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Sep 2026) it ended Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lithuania 1.5 xG, Liechtenstein 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lithuania 63%, draw 19%, Liechtenstein 18%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (86%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lithuania 1–0 Liechtenstein. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lithuania63%fair 1.59
Draw19%fair 5.36
Liechtenstein18%fair 5.47
2.00Expected goals
1.47Lithuania xG
0.53Liechtenstein xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lithuania 1.5 – 0.5 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lithuania
Liechtenstein
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
+0%
-25%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.84
0.61
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Liechtenstein 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–0 Liechtenstein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Lithuania vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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