Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓50% · @1.75
Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente De Chivilcoy welcome Gimnasia Chivilcoy to Raul Orlando Lungarzo for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 5 April (20:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.3 xG, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente De Chivilcoy 50%, draw 31%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente De Chivilcoy50%fair 2.01 · @1.75
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.90
Gimnasia Chivilcoy19%fair 5.19 · @5.00
2.09Expected goals
1.28Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.82Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.3 – 0.8 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente De Chivilcoy
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-9%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.85
0.68
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win✓
50%
2.01
1.75
Double chance
Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente De Chivilcoy (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Chivilcoy +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Independiente De Chivilcoy to score first✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 1
L
29 Mar
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 2
DL
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 19%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
