Sportivo Las Parejas 56%Draw 27%9 de Julio Rafaela 17%Expected goals 1.68 – 0.71
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗56% · @1.83
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Las Parejas welcome 9 de Julio Rafaela to Estadio La Perrera for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 5 April (20:00 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th, upper half, on 24 points after 18 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Las Parejas 1.7 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Las Parejas 56%, draw 27%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 17%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Las Parejas or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Las Parejas56%fair 1.77 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
9 de Julio Rafaela17%fair 6.05 · @4.00
2.39Expected goals
1.68Sportivo Las Parejas xG
0.719 de Julio Rafaela xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Las Parejas 1.7 – 0.7 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Las Parejas
9 de Julio Rafaela
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-1%
+33%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+34%
Our expected goals here
1.60
0.57
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Las Parejas to win✗
56%
1.77
1.83
Double chance
Sportivo Las Parejas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Las Parejas (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Las Parejas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Sportivo Las Parejas to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Las Parejas / FT Sportivo Las Parejas✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 1
D
30 Mar
@ Atletico Escobar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 2
WL
29 Mar
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
3–2
W
21 Mar
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Las Parejas and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Sportivo Las Parejas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Sportivo Las Parejas vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Perrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
