Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.58
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Torneo Federal A brings Sarmiento Resistencia against Bartolomé Mitre at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Resistencia are 35th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 16 matches; Bartolomé Mitre are 9th (upper half) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Resistencia 0.9 xG, Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Resistencia 35%, draw 32%, Bartolomé Mitre 32%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Resistencia 0–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Resistencia35%fair 2.82 · @2.25
Draw32%fair 3.12 · @2.90
Bartolomé Mitre32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
1.82Expected goals
0.94Sarmiento Resistencia xG
0.88Bartolomé Mitre xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Resistencia 0.9 – 0.9 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sarmiento Resistencia
Bartolomé Mitre
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-31%
-40%
Goals conceded vs average
+57%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.72
0.68
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento Resistencia to win
35%
2.82
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
68%
1.47
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.62
Draw no bet
Sarmiento Resistencia (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Bartolomé Mitre +0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Sarmiento Resistencia to score first
43%
2.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.58
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Resistencia – last 1
L
21 Mar
vs Juventud Antoniana
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bartolomé Mitre – last 1
W
29 Mar
vs Boca Unidos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Resistencia and Bartolomé Mitre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers Sarmiento Resistencia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Bartolomé Mitre 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Resistencia 0–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
