Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✗74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Tucuman Central v San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal A. In the table, Tucuman Central are 32nd, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; San Martin Formosa are 4th (among the top four) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tucuman Central 0.8 xG, San Martin Formosa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tucuman Central 26%, draw 28%, San Martin Formosa 46%.
Lower-risk option: San Martin Formosa or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Martin Formosa or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tucuman Central 0–1 San Martin Formosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tucuman Central26%fair 3.80 · @3.60
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.75
San Martin Formosa46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
2.09Expected goals
0.84Tucuman Central xG
1.25San Martin Formosa xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tucuman Central 0.8 – 1.2 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tucuman Central
San Martin Formosa
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-8%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
+77%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.00
1.56
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Formosa to win✗
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
San Martin Formosa or draw✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.44
Draw no bet
San Martin Formosa (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Tucuman Central +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.02
First team to score
San Martin Formosa to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.46
–
Recent results
Tucuman Central
No recent results on record.
San Martin Formosa – last 1
L
29 Mar
@ Racing Club
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tucuman Central and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is San Martin Formosa or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Tucuman Central have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martin Formosa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Tucuman Central 0–1 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa?
Tucuman Central vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
