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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

9 de Julio Rafaela v Sportivo Belgrano: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · El Coloso
9 de Julio Rafaela 48%Draw 27%Sportivo Belgrano 25% Expected goals 1.49 – 0.84
75%
Betarazi pick

9 de Julio Rafaela or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chance9 de Julio Rafaela or draw ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

9 de Julio Rafaela welcome Sportivo Belgrano to El Coloso for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 24 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Sportivo Belgrano are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.

Current form

9 de Julio Rafaela, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Douglas Haig, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Sportivo Belgrano, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atletico Escobar, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Sportivo Belgrano 3–0 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.5 xG, Sportivo Belgrano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – 9 de Julio Rafaela 48%, draw 27%, Sportivo Belgrano 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw (75%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

9 de Julio Rafaela48%fair 2.07 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.88
Sportivo Belgrano25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
2.33Expected goals
1.499 de Julio Rafaela xG
0.84Sportivo Belgrano xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.5 – 0.8 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

9 de Julio RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+33%-24%
Goals conceded vs average+34%+4%
Our expected goals here1.660.73

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✗48%2.072.05
Double chance9 de Julio Rafaela or draw ✗75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.20 ▲
Draw no bet9 de Julio Rafaela (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapSportivo Belgrano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to score9 de Julio Rafaela to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT 9 de Julio Rafaela / FT 9 de Julio Rafaela ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.02–

Recent results

9 de Julio Rafaela – last 4

WDWL
17 Mayvs Douglas Haig2–0W
5 Apr@ Sportivo Las Parejas1–1D
29 Marvs Independiente De Chivilcoy3–2W
21 Mar@ Sportivo Belgrano0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sportivo Belgrano – last 5

WLDDW
17 May@ Atletico Escobar3–1W
18 Aprvs Douglas Haig0–1L
6 Aprvs Gimnasia Concepción0–0D
29 Mar@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy0–0D
21 Marvs 9 de Julio Rafaela3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Sportivo Belgrano v 9 de Julio Rafaela3–0
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?

Our pick is 9 de Julio Rafaela or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?

On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sportivo Belgrano 25%.

How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?

Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano?

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.