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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alvarado v Olimpo Bahia Blanca: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Alvarado 45%Draw 32%Olimpo Bahia Blanca 23% Expected goals 1.00 – 0.56
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlvarado to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.74

Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Torneo Federal A brings Alvarado against Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31.

Current form

Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santamarina, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.0 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.6 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 45%, draw 32%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alvarado or draw (77%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alvarado45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw32%fair 3.14 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca23%fair 4.41 · @4.10
1.56Expected goals
1.00Alvarado xG
0.56Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
41%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%
0–021%
1–112%
0–112%
2–011%
2–16%

From our goals model: Alvarado 1.0 – 0.6 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average+28%+4%
Goals conceded vs average-31%-34%
Our expected goals here1.020.51

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlvarado to win ✓45%2.202.00
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓77%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.711.44
Draw no betAlvarado (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapOlimpo Bahia Blanca +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓51%1.971.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.131.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.061.02
First team to scoreAlvarado to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.74–

Recent results

Alvarado – last 2

DW
3 Apr@ Sol de Mayo0–0D
29 Marvs Guillermo Brown2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 3

DWW
17 May@ Santamarina0–0D
27 Aprvs Circulo Deportivo1–0W
5 Apr@ Guillermo Brown2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.

Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

On our numbers Alvarado have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 23%.

How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Alvarado vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.