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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Germinal de Rawson v Sol de Mayo: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
Germinal de Rawson 56%Draw 27%Sol de Mayo 17% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.59
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.07

Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Germinal de Rawson v Sol de Mayo in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Sol de Mayo are 28th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sol de Mayo, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villa Mitre, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.3 xG, Sol de Mayo 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 56%, draw 27%, Sol de Mayo 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Germinal de Rawson or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Germinal de Rawson56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Sol de Mayo17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
1.88Expected goals
1.29Germinal de Rawson xG
0.59Sol de Mayo xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.3 – 0.6 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Germinal de RawsonSol de Mayo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-20%-3%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+55%
Our expected goals here1.500.72

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓56%1.791.83
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.50
Draw no betGerminal de Rawson (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapSol de Mayo +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.711.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreGerminal de Rawson to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson ✗32%3.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20%5.07–

Recent results

Germinal de Rawson – last 2

DD
17 Mayvs Guillermo Brown1–1D
29 Marvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Sol de Mayo – last 3

LWD
17 May@ Villa Mitre1–2L
19 Aprvs Guillermo Brown1–0W
3 Aprvs Alvarado0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Sol de Mayo.

Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?

On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sol de Mayo 17%.

How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?

Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?

Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.