Germinal de Rawson 56%Draw 27%Sol de Mayo 17%Expected goals 1.29 – 0.59
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓56% · @1.83
Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.07
Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Germinal de Rawson v Sol de Mayo in the Torneo Federal A, played at Estadio El Fortin. In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Sol de Mayo are 28th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sol de Mayo, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Villa Mitre, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.3 xG, Sol de Mayo 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 56%, draw 27%, Sol de Mayo 17%.
Lower-risk option: Germinal de Rawson or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germinal de Rawson56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.00
Sol de Mayo17%fair 5.74 · @4.20
1.88Expected goals
1.29Germinal de Rawson xG
0.59Sol de Mayo xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.3 – 0.6 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Germinal de Rawson
Sol de Mayo
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-20%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+55%
Our expected goals here
1.50
0.72
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Double chance
Germinal de Rawson or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Draw no bet
Germinal de Rawson (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sol de Mayo +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Germinal de Rawson to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.07
–
Recent results
Germinal de Rawson – last 2
DD
17 May
vs Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sol de Mayo – last 3
LWD
17 May
@ Villa Mitre
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Sol de Mayo.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sol de Mayo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo?
Germinal de Rawson vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.