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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santamarina v Guillermo Brown: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin
Santamarina 45%Draw 32%Guillermo Brown 23% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.82
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSantamarina to win ✗45% · @1.95
Double chanceSantamarina or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santamarina welcome Guillermo Brown to Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 24 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Santamarina are 36th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Guillermo Brown, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Germinal de Rawson, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santamarina 1.1 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santamarina 45%, draw 32%, Guillermo Brown 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Santamarina or draw (77%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santamarina45%fair 2.23 · @1.95
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
Guillermo Brown23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
1.91Expected goals
1.09Santamarina xG
0.82Guillermo Brown xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Santamarina 1.1 – 0.8 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SantamarinaGuillermo Brown
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average-29%-27%
Goals conceded vs average+47%-4%
Our expected goals here0.820.77

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantamarina to win ✗45%2.231.95
Double chanceSantamarina or draw ✗77%1.301.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.57
Draw no betSantamarina (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapGuillermo Brown +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.701.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreSantamarina to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santamarina / FT Santamarina ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.19–

Recent results

Santamarina – last 2

DD
17 Mayvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–0D
5 Apr@ Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Guillermo Brown – last 4

DLLL
17 May@ Germinal de Rawson1–1D
19 Apr@ Sol de Mayo0–1L
5 Aprvs Olimpo Bahia Blanca0–2L
29 Mar@ Alvarado0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and Guillermo Brown.

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?

On our numbers Santamarina have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Guillermo Brown 23%.

How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?

Our predicted score is Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.