Santamarina 45%Draw 32%Guillermo Brown 23%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.82
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSantamarina to win ✗45% · @1.95
Double chanceSantamarina or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santamarina welcome Guillermo Brown to Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 24 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Santamarina are 36th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Guillermo Brown are 34th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Guillermo Brown, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Germinal de Rawson, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santamarina 1.1 xG, Guillermo Brown 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santamarina 45%, draw 32%, Guillermo Brown 23%.
Lower-risk option: Santamarina or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santamarina45%fair 2.23 · @1.95
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
Guillermo Brown23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
1.91Expected goals
1.09Santamarina xG
0.82Guillermo Brown xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Santamarina 1.1 – 0.8 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santamarina
Guillermo Brown
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-29%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
-4%
Our expected goals here
0.82
0.77
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santamarina to win✗
45%
2.23
1.95
Double chance
Santamarina or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.57
Draw no bet
Santamarina (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Guillermo Brown +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Santamarina to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santamarina / FT Santamarina✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Recent results
Santamarina – last 2
DD
17 May
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 4
DLLL
17 May
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Guillermo Brown 23%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown?
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.