San Martin Formosa 59%Draw 27%Bartolomé Mitre 13%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.52
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.05
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Formosa welcome Bartolomé Mitre to 17 De Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 26 July (19:30 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Bartolomé Mitre are 9th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
San Martin Formosa, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sarmiento de La Banda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bartolomé Mitre, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores de Vilelas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Bartolomé Mitre 2–0 San Martin Formosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.5 xG, Bartolomé Mitre 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 59%, draw 27%, Bartolomé Mitre 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Formosa59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.25
Bartolomé Mitre13%fair 7.52 · @5.25
2.03Expected goals
1.51San Martin Formosa xG
0.52Bartolomé Mitre xG
37%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.5 – 0.5 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
San Martin Formosa
Bartolomé Mitre
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
+23%
-40%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.39
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bartolomé Mitre 13%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
