Tucuman Central 30%Draw 28%Sarmiento de La Banda 42%Expected goals 1.03 – 1.19
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Tucuman Central to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 July the Torneo Federal A brings Tucuman Central against Sarmiento de La Banda. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Tucuman Central are 32nd, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Tucuman Central, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Juventud Antoniana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over San Martin Formosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarmiento de La Banda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tucuman Central.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Tucuman Central.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tucuman Central 1.0 xG, Sarmiento de La Banda 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 35%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tucuman Central 30%, draw 28%, Sarmiento de La Banda 42%.
Price worth noting: Tucuman Central to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tucuman Central 1–1 Sarmiento de La Banda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tucuman Central30%fair 3.35 · @3.75
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.90
Sarmiento de La Banda42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
2.21Expected goals
1.03Tucuman Central xG
1.19Sarmiento de La Banda xG
45%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tucuman Central 1.0 – 1.2 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tucuman Central
Sarmiento de La Banda
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-8%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+77%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.29
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✗
42%
2.36
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Tucuman Central +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
What is the prediction for Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Tucuman Central have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sarmiento de La Banda 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Tucuman Central 1–1 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Tucuman Central vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
