Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Rotor Volgograd to win @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✓57% · @1.93
Double chanceRotor Volgograd or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.43
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · @1.05
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Rotor Volgograd v FK Neftekhimik in the First League, played at Volgograd Arena. In the table, Rotor Volgograd are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Chernomorets, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fakel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rotor Volgograd 1.5 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rotor Volgograd 57%, draw 28%, FK Neftekhimik 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rotor Volgograd or draw (85%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.43.
Price worth noting: Rotor Volgograd to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rotor Volgograd 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rotor Volgograd57%fair 1.77 · @1.93
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.91
FK Neftekhimik15%fair 6.57 · @4.60
2.12Expected goals
1.51Rotor Volgograd xG
0.61FK Neftekhimik xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.5 – 0.6 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rotor Volgograd
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
+4%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.65
0.60
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win✓
57%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Rotor Volgograd or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.43
Draw no bet
Rotor Volgograd (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.71
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.29
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.05
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Rotor Volgograd to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.52
–
Recent results
Rotor Volgograd – last 5
WWDLL
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Fakel
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Ural
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Surkhon
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 5
LWLDD
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 28% and FK Neftekhimik 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik?
Rotor Volgograd vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov1
Rodina Moskva3
Chayka0
Fakel2