Ural welcome Chayka to Yekaterinburg Arena for a First League fixture on Sunday 5 April (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Ural, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rodina Moskva, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Chayka, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chelyabinsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chayka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Ural.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ural 2.2 xG, Chayka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ural 72%, draw 18%, Chayka 10%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.06.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ural to win (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural 2–0 Chayka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ural72%fair 1.38 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @5.25
Chayka10%fair 10.30 · @9.30
2.88Expected goals
2.22Ural xG
0.66Chayka xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ural 2.2 – 0.7 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ural
Chayka
Attack vs First League average
+24%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+26%
Our expected goals here
2.31
0.65
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Double chance
Ural or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.06
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Ural -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Ural to score first✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Ural ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Ural – last 5
LLWDL
29 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Enisey
2–4
L
15 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fakel
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Chayka – last 4
WLWL
29 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ural and Chayka.
Our pick is Ural to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ural vs Chayka?
On our numbers Ural have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Chayka 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ural vs Chayka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ural vs Chayka?
Our predicted score is Ural 2–0 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ural vs Chayka?
Ural vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FK Sokol Saratov1
Rodina Moskva3
Fakel2