FK Sokol Saratov 17%Draw 25%Rodina Moskva 58%Expected goals 0.80 – 1.64
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.26 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✓58% · @1.62
Double chanceRodina Moskva or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.26
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the First League brings FK Sokol Saratov against Rodina Moskva at Stadion Lokomotiv. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
FK Sokol Saratov, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Arsenal Tula, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ural, at home. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 2.6 points per game to 0.5 for FK Sokol Saratov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Sokol Saratov 0.8 xG, Rodina Moskva 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Sokol Saratov 17%, draw 25%, Rodina Moskva 58%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.26.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.26 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Sokol Saratov 0–2 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Sokol Saratov17%fair 6.02 · @5.65
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.52
Rodina Moskva58%fair 1.72 · @1.62
2.44Expected goals
0.80FK Sokol Saratov xG
1.64Rodina Moskva xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: FK Sokol Saratov 0.8 – 1.6 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FK Sokol Saratov
Rodina Moskva
Attack vs First League average
-28%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-8%
Our expected goals here
0.99
1.86
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Double chance
Rodina Moskva or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.26 ▲
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
FK Sokol Saratov +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Rodina Moskva to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
FK Sokol Saratov – last 6
LLLLLW
29 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs FK Neftekhimik
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ FC UFA
0–2
L
7 Mar
@ Chayka
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Chelyabinsk
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Tyumen
5–2
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 5
WWDWW
29 Mar
vs Ural
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Sokol Saratov and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers FK Sokol Saratov have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rodina Moskva 58%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is FK Sokol Saratov 0–2 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva?
FK Sokol Saratov vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ska-khabarovsk1
Volga Ulyanovsk1
Ural5
Chayka0
Arsenal Tula1
Fakel2
Rotor Volgograd3
FK Neftekhimik1