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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America de Cali v Tigre: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
1–1
FT

Tigre

DWLDL
America de Cali 50%Draw 27%Tigre 23% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.79
77%
Betarazi pick

America de Cali or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48

America de Cali vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigre travel to face America de Cali on Wednesday 20 May in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Olimpico Pascual Guerrero the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 3rd on 9 points after 6 matches; Tigre are 2nd with 9. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

America de Cali, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Santa Fe, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Tigre, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Macara, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Tigre 2–0 America de Cali.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.4 xG, Tigre 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 50%, draw 27%, Tigre 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: America de Cali or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was America de Cali or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America de Cali50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Tigre23%fair 4.33 · @4.00
2.20Expected goals
1.42America de Cali xG
0.79Tigre xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: America de Cali 1.4 – 0.8 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica de Cali to win ✗50%2.022.00
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betAmerica de Cali (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapTigre +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.091.05
First team to scoreAmerica de Cali to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT America de Cali / FT America de Cali ✗31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.48–

Recent results

America de Cali – last 6

LDWWLL
13 May@ Santa Fe0–4L
10 Mayvs Santa Fe1–1D
7 May@ Alianza Atletico2–0W
3 Mayvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
1 May@ Tigre0–2L
26 Apr@ Deportivo Cali0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tigre – last 6

DWLDLD
7 May@ Macara2–2D
1 Mayvs America de Cali2–0W
25 Apr@ Sarmiento Junin0–1L
21 Aprvs Huracan1–1D
16 Aprvs Macara0–1L
8 Apr@ Alianza Atletico1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Tigre v America de Cali2–0
America de Cali vs Tigre head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara6240+310
2Tigre6231+39
3America de Cali6231+19
4Alianza Atletico6024-72

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Tigre?

Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win America de Cali vs Tigre?

On our numbers America de Cali have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tigre 23%.

How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Tigre?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Tigre?

Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is America de Cali vs Tigre?

America de Cali vs Tigre (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.