Sao Paulo 50%Draw 26%Millonarios 24%Expected goals 1.21 – 0.89
81%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSao Paulo to win ✗50% · @1.65
Double chanceSao Paulo or draw ✓76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Millonarios travel to face Sao Paulo on Wednesday 20 May in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, with Estadio Do MorumBIS the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Sao Paulo are 1st on 12 points after 6 matches; Millonarios are 3rd with 8.
Current form
Sao Paulo, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Millonarios, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Patriotas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Millonarios 0–0 Sao Paulo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Paulo 1.2 xG, Millonarios 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Paulo 50%, draw 26%, Millonarios 24%.
Lower-risk option: Sao Paulo or draw (76%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Paulo 1–0 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Paulo50%fair 2.00 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.55
Millonarios24%fair 4.20 · @5.50
2.09Expected goals
1.21Sao Paulo xG
0.89Millonarios xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.2 – 0.9 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Millonarios 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–0 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Millonarios?
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Do MorumBIS.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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