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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpia v Vasco DA Gama: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia

WDLLD
3–1
FT

Vasco DA Gama

DWWWW
Olimpia 52%Draw 26%Vasco DA Gama 23% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.96
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✓52% · @1.93
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Olimpia v Vasco DA Gama in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. In the table, Olimpia are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 2nd with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Olimpia, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barracas Central, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Paysandu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Olimpia.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Olimpia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.4 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 52%, draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia52%fair 1.93 · @1.93
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.25
Vasco DA Gama23%fair 4.41 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.44Olimpia xG
0.96Vasco DA Gama xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%

From our goals model: Olimpia 1.4 – 1.0 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✓52%1.931.93
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.95
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet) ✓70%1.44–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.121.06
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first ✗55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✗29%3.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

Olimpia – last 6

WDLLDW
7 May@ Barracas Central2–1W
3 Mayvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
30 Apr@ Vasco DA Gama0–3L
26 Apr@ Libertad Asuncion2–3L
16 Aprvs Barracas Central0–0D
9 Apr@ A. Italiano2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

DWWWWL
13 Mayvs Paysandu2–2D
11 Mayvs Atletico Paranaense1–0W
6 May@ A. Italiano2–1W
30 Aprvs Olimpia3–0W
22 Apr@ Paysandu2–0W
15 Aprvs A. Italiano1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Vasco DA Gama v Olimpia3–0
Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia6411+413
2Vasco DA Gama6312+410
3A. Italiano6213-27
4Barracas Central6033-63

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FT America de Cali1 Tigre1 150%2.00X27%3.10223%4.00 1.4–0.8xG 1XAmerica de Cali or draw 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Boston River3 O'Higgins2 125%4.10X26%3.35248%1.90 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Santos2 San Lorenzo2 155%1.80X25%3.45220%4.45 1.4–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?

On our numbers Olimpia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vasco DA Gama 23%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?

Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.