Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✗48% · @2.22
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 30 April the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Estudiantes L.P. against Flamengo at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; Flamengo are 1st with 16.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cusco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Flamengo, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vitoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 xG, Flamengo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 25%, draw 27%, Flamengo 48%.
Lower-risk option: Flamengo or draw (75%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamengo or draw (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.25%fair 4.08 · @3.55
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.96
Flamengo48%fair 2.08 · @2.22
2.54Expected goals
0.97Estudiantes L.P. xG
1.57Flamengo xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 – 1.6 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✗
48%
2.08
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
75%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes L.P. +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Flamengo to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✗
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
WDLWWL
14 Apr
vs Cusco
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
23 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
5–0
W
18 Mar
@ Gimnasia M.
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Lanus
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WWWWLD
23 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Bahia
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
4–1
W
9 Apr
@ Cusco
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
23 Mar
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Flamengo or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Flamengo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de La Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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