Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa Santista to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Paulista A3 brings Paulista against Portuguesa Santista. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Paulista, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uniao Barbarense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Portuguesa Santista, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over EC São Bernardo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portuguesa Santista, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Paulista.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paulista 1.1 xG, Portuguesa Santista 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paulista 34%, draw 27%, Portuguesa Santista 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paulista 1–1 Portuguesa Santista. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paulista34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Portuguesa Santista38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.37Expected goals
1.11Paulista xG
1.26Portuguesa Santista xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Paulista 1.1 – 1.3 Portuguesa Santista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa Santista to win✗
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Portuguesa Santista (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Paulista +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Portuguesa Santista to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa Santista / FT Portuguesa Santista✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.49
–
Recent results
Paulista – last 6
DDDLLW
11 Mar
@ Uniao Barbarense
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Francana
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Rio Preto
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs EC São Bernardo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portuguesa Santista – last 6
WWWLWW
15 Mar
@ EC São Bernardo
3–0
W
12 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paulista and Portuguesa Santista.
What is the prediction for Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
On our numbers Paulista have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Portuguesa Santista 38%.
How many goals will there be in Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our predicted score is Paulista 1–1 Portuguesa Santista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
EC São Bernardo
Marília
Rio Claro
XV de Jau
Uniao Barbarense
Rio Preto