Uniao Barbarense 40%Draw 23%Rio Preto 37%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.08
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Rio Preto to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUniao Barbarense to win40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.05
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rio Preto travel to face Uniao Barbarense on Saturday 28 March in the Paulista A3 – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Uniao Barbarense, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Paulista, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Rio Preto, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Portuguesa Santista, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uniao Barbarense 1.1 xG, Rio Preto 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uniao Barbarense 40%, draw 23%, Rio Preto 37%.
Price worth noting: Rio Preto to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uniao Barbarense 1–1 Rio Preto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uniao Barbarense40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Rio Preto37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
2.21Expected goals
1.13Uniao Barbarense xG
1.08Rio Preto xG
44%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uniao Barbarense 1.1 – 1.1 Rio Preto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uniao Barbarense to win
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Uniao Barbarense (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Rio Preto +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Uniao Barbarense to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uniao Barbarense / FT Uniao Barbarense
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.05
–
Recent results
Uniao Barbarense – last 3
DWW
11 Mar
vs Paulista
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs USAC
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ EC São Bernardo
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rio Preto – last 3
LWW
12 Mar
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Francana
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Paulista
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uniao Barbarense and Rio Preto.
What is the prediction for Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto?
On our numbers Uniao Barbarense have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Preto 37%.
How many goals will there be in Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto?
Our predicted score is Uniao Barbarense 1–1 Rio Preto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto?
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
EC São Bernardo
Marília
Rio Claro
XV de Jau
Paulista2
Portuguesa Santista1