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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rio Claro v XV de Jau: numbers & prediction

Paulista A3 · Brazil

Rio Claro

LLLDW
Sat 28 Mar 2026

XV de Jau

WWDLL
Rio Claro 35%Draw 27%XV de Jau 38% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.14
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultXV de Jau to win38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.43

Rio Claro vs XV de Jau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Rio Claro v XV de Jau in the Paulista A3.

Current form

Rio Claro, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Francana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

XV de Jau, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marília, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours XV de Jau, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Rio Claro.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Rio Claro 0–1 XV de Jau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rio Claro 1.1 xG, XV de Jau 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Claro 35%, draw 27%, XV de Jau 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Claro 1–1 XV de Jau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rio Claro35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
XV de Jau38%fair 2.65 · @2.50
2.26Expected goals
1.12Rio Claro xG
1.14XV de Jau xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Rio Claro 1.1 – 1.1 XV de Jau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXV de Jau to win38%2.652.50
Double chanceEither team to win73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.87–
Draw no betXV de Jau (draw no bet)52%1.93–
Asian handicapRio Claro +0.5 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.09–
First team to scoreXV de Jau to score first45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT XV de Jau / FT XV de Jau20%4.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.43–

Recent results

Rio Claro – last 6

LLLDWD
15 Mar@ Francana0–3L
11 Marvs XV de Jau0–1L
8 Marvs Bandeirante SP2–3L
4 Mar@ Marília1–1D
1 Marvs EC São Bernardo1–0W
26 Feb@ Itapirense1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

XV de Jau – last 5

WWDLL
15 Marvs Marília1–0W
11 Mar@ Rio Claro1–0W
4 Marvs Catanduva0–0D
25 Febvs Portuguesa Santista0–2L
15 Febvs Paulista0–2L
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Rio Claro v XV de Jau0–1
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau head-to-head page →

More Paulista A3 predictions

– EC São Bernardo Marília 140%2.80X26%3.00234%2.30 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.50
– Uniao Barbarense Rio Preto 140%2.25X23%3.00237%2.88 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 62%@1.50
FT Paulista2 Portuguesa Santista1 134%2.50X27%2.90238%2.70 1.1–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

On our numbers Rio Claro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and XV de Jau 38%.

How many goals will there be in Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Our predicted score is Rio Claro 1–1 XV de Jau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Rio Claro vs XV de Jau (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.